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2024-12-13 05:26:37

1. The wording of proactive fiscal policy and deficit shows the determination to exceed expectations, and other contents are basically in line with my expectations. It is reasonable for the market to interpret it as a major positive, and the positive reaction of foreign capital may be related to its large-scale layout of China assets and call options in the early stage.2. In my opinion, the advantages are mainly reflected in the fact that the management will continue to adhere to the general direction of expanding reform and opening up and vigorously developing the economy, and the loose monetary policy and proactive fiscal policy are also appropriate. It is my expectation to increase and improve people's livelihood and enhance people's sense of gain, happiness and security. I think this content is good, and the key lies in the implementation of specific measures and policies to achieve the above goals. Therefore, the content of the follow-up meeting may be more critical.6. The layout direction remains unchanged, focusing on real estate and consumption in the short term; The mid-line focuses on low-altitude economy, AI applications, semiconductors, and new energy batteries.


Operational recommendations:3. Emphasis on stabilizing the property market and the stock market. Beijing rarely mentions the stock market, showing its importance.The contents of the after-hours economic meeting were announced, and foreign capital and the media regarded the China stock index as a major positive; Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index and Singapore's A50 Index soared.


1. In 2025, a proactive fiscal policy will be implemented that exceeds market expectations. It is estimated that the fiscal deficit ratio will exceed 4%, and I predict it will be about 4.5%.2. It is expected that the Shanghai stock market will open above 3,500 points tomorrow. If it opens above 3,550 points, it is not recommended to chase up. For heavy investors, you can consider cashing in some chips when you are high, and then waiting for companies with good mid-line layout after falling back.Opening at 3500 tomorrow, interpretation of economic conference

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